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SpaceX Beats Earnings Expectations—But AI Costs Sink Stock

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SpaceX released its first quarterly results as a publicly traded company on Tuesday. The company reported strong growth across its Starlink satellite internet and artificial intelligence businesses.

Quarterly revenue increased by 92% year over year. SpaceX also announced a new partnership with Nvidia focused on chips for artificial intelligence data centers.

SpaceX Revenue Beats Wall Street Estimates

SpaceX generated $7.8 billion in revenue during the second quarter, which ended in June. That was significantly higher than the $4.1 billion reported during the same period last year.

The result also exceeded Wall Street’s consensus estimate of $6.9 billion.

SpaceX recorded a loss of 9 cents per share. Analysts had expected a much larger loss of 26 cents per share.

Therefore, the company outperformed expectations on both revenue and earnings.

Nvidia Partnership Strengthens SpaceX’s AI Strategy

During a conference call with investors and analysts, CEO Elon Musk discussed SpaceX’s growing relationship with Nvidia.

Musk said SpaceX expects to receive a significant share of Nvidia’s highly sought-after graphics processing units in 2027.

These advanced chips are essential for training and operating artificial intelligence systems. As a result, access to Nvidia’s hardware could support the expansion of SpaceX’s AI infrastructure and data center operations.

However, the company’s increasing AI investment also raised concerns about future spending.

SpaceX Stock Falls in After-Hours Trading

SpaceX shares climbed 9.4% during regular trading on Tuesday. However, the stock reversed direction after the earnings report.

Shares dropped approximately 7% in after-hours trading.

The decline suggests that investors remained cautious despite the stronger-than-expected results. High artificial intelligence costs, heavy capital expenditure and upcoming share sales may have contributed to the negative reaction.

Share Unlock Could Increase Selling Pressure

Wall Street had been closely watching SpaceX’s earnings announcement because of an upcoming share unlock.

Around 911 million previously restricted shares are expected to become available for trading this week. This could increase the supply of shares in the market and create additional selling pressure.

The timing is particularly important because SpaceX shares are already trading below the company’s public offering price.

SpaceX Remains Below Its IPO Price

SpaceX stock has gained more than 10% this week. Nevertheless, it remains below the $135 per-share price used during its June fundraising round.

The company raised $75 billion through what was described as the largest public offering on record.

Another 455 million shares could have become eligible for release if the stock had risen above certain price thresholds. Since those targets were not reached, the additional shares will remain restricted for now.

This may reduce some near-term dilution concerns. Still, the scheduled release of 911 million shares remains a potential risk for investors.

Analysts Welcome the Strong Financial Results

Ken Herbert, an aerospace and defense analyst at RBC Capital Markets, viewed the quarterly report positively.

He noted that SpaceX exceeded expectations on both revenue and earnings. According to Herbert, the results could improve confidence in the company’s ability to deliver stronger short-term financial performance.

AI Business Begins to Show Commercial Potential

Thomas Monteiro, a senior analyst at Investing.com, said the quarter provided encouraging evidence that SpaceX’s underlying business model is working.

He highlighted the improving performance of the company’s AI division. The segment appears to be moving away from being purely a source of expenses and toward becoming a commercially viable business.

Management also strengthened its artificial intelligence strategy through the Cursor acquisition.

However, Monteiro warned that several risks remain. SpaceX still depends on a relatively small number of major customers. In addition, its new agreements may increase the company’s financial commitments.

He also questioned the quality of the reported profitability improvement.

Much of the earnings advantage came from adjusted accounting measures, including depreciation expenses added back to the results. At the operating level, SpaceX remains close to breaking even while continuing to consume significant amounts of cash.

Starlink Subscribers Double as AI Revenue Jumps

Brian Mulberry, chief market strategist at Zacks Investment Management, identified two major highlights from the report.

First, Starlink subscriptions doubled from 6 million to 12 million. Second, revenue from the company’s AI business increased by 350%.

Mulberry described these figures as the strongest areas of outperformance.

The rapid rise in artificial intelligence revenue also suggests that the division is beginning to fund more of its own operations. SpaceX may no longer need to depend entirely on Starlink revenue to support its AI expansion.

This could ease concerns about the company’s heavy capital spending.

Mulberry added that continued AI monetization could make SpaceX more attractive as a potential investment.

Investors Must Focus on SpaceX’s Long-Term Strategy

Adam Sarhan, CEO of 50 Park Investments, emphasized that SpaceX should not be evaluated only through quarterly results.

Elon Musk’s strategy is based on long-term expansion rather than short-term profitability. Therefore, significant stock price fluctuations may be normal during SpaceX’s first one or two years as a public company.

Sarhan acknowledged that artificial intelligence costs remain high. However, he also pointed to the company’s 92% revenue increase as evidence that its growth strategy is producing results.

The main challenge will be maintaining that momentum.

SpaceX must continue meeting or exceeding Wall Street’s already high expectations. This can be difficult for any business, especially one that entered the market through a highly anticipated public offering.

SpaceX Growth Remains Strong, but Risks Are Rising

SpaceX delivered stronger-than-expected revenue and earnings during its first public quarter.

Starlink subscriber growth and rising AI revenue provided clear reasons for optimism. Meanwhile, the Nvidia partnership could strengthen the company’s position in the artificial intelligence infrastructure market.

However, high AI spending, heavy cash consumption and the upcoming share unlock continue to create uncertainty.

Investors will now watch whether SpaceX can convert its rapid revenue growth into sustainable operating profits without allowing capital expenditure to rise too quickly.