XRP could be approaching a decisive moment in October 2025 as both technical patterns and regulatory events align. The price continues to move within a descending channel, resembling the setup seen before July’s breakout that led to a 66% surge. Traders now wonder if a similar scenario could play out again.
At the moment, XRP is trading near $2.85, with solid support around $2.75 helping to stabilize recent declines. The chart structure suggests mounting pressure against the upper boundary of the channel. If this resistance breaks, technical projections point to a possible 35% rally, pushing the token toward the $4 mark by the end of October. Fibonacci extensions also highlight key upside targets, with levels at $3.48 and $3.97 acting as near-term checkpoints.
The timing is critical as the SEC prepares to issue decisions on several spot XRP ETF applications throughout October. The first ruling is expected on October 18 for the Grayscale XRP ETF, followed closely by reviews of 21Shares (October 19), Bitwise (October 20), Canary Capital (October 23), and WisdomTree (October 25). Each decision could inject volatility, strengthen institutional confidence, and potentially fuel fresh inflows if approvals are granted.
Together, the technical breakout setup and the wave of ETF deadlines create a high-stakes environment for XRP traders. A decisive move above resistance could mirror July’s explosive rally and set the stage for strong momentum into year-end. On the other hand, rejections or delays might reinforce resistance and postpone another leg higher.
