The likelihood of Bitcoin experiencing a sharp downturn following the recent U.S. military strike on Venezuela is considered low, according to a cryptocurrency analyst.
While Bitcoin has historically reacted to periods of geopolitical tension with increased volatility, analysts suggest the latest event is unlikely to trigger a broad market correction. The U.S. attack, which took place early Saturday morning around 6:00 a.m. UTC and reportedly lasted approximately 30 minutes, appears to have already been priced in by the market.
MN Trading Capital founder Michael van de Poppe stated that he does not expect the incident to cause widespread downside pressure on Bitcoin. In a post on X, he explained that the operation was both planned and coordinated, reducing the chances of prolonged market uncertainty.
Van de Poppe added that the risk of further negative sentiment spilling into financial markets as a result of the strike remains relatively limited.
Despite Bitcoin’s tendency to struggle during periods of global instability, price action has remained resilient. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin rose by 1.66%, reclaiming the $90,000 level and trading near $91,290 at the time of writing, according to market data.
On a weekly basis, Bitcoin is up more than 4%, reflecting sustained bullish momentum. During the same 24-hour period, approximately $60 million in leveraged Bitcoin positions were liquidated, with short positions accounting for the majority of losses, data from CoinGlass shows.
Historically, Bitcoin has seen sharp but short-lived declines following geopolitical escalations. Similar reactions were observed during heightened tensions involving Iran and Israel, as well as the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
In one notable example from June 2025, Bitcoin dropped nearly 3% in under two hours after explosions were reported in Tehran. The price later stabilized after Israel confirmed responsibility for the incident.
Other analysts share a comparable outlook. Crypto market commentator Tyler Hill noted that significant sell-offs typically occur when traders anticipate further escalation, which does not appear to be the case following the Venezuela strike. He suggested that the situation could even support positive market sentiment, as some investors may interpret it as a show of strength.
Meanwhile, analyst Shagun Makin emphasized Bitcoin’s ability to remain stable despite ongoing geopolitical developments, reinforcing confidence that the asset can continue to hold above the $90,000 level.
