Home Commodities Gold Falls as Rate Cut Hopes Fade Ahead of U.S. Payrolls Report

Gold Falls as Rate Cut Hopes Fade Ahead of U.S. Payrolls Report

Gold prices declined in Asian trading on Tuesday, extending their recent slide as fading expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December strengthened the U.S. dollar and added pressure on non-yielding assets.

Investor caution ahead of the long-delayed September nonfarm payrolls report—scheduled for release this week—also supported the dollar and weighed on precious metals.

Spot gold fell 0.7% to $4,019.19 an ounce, while December gold futures dropped 1.4% to $4,018.89 an ounce by 00:38 ET (05:38 GMT).

Gold Weakens as December Rate Cut Bets Fade

Gold’s decline has been driven mainly by markets dialing back expectations of a December Fed rate cut. The delay in key economic data releases, caused by the recent U.S. government shutdown, has left policymakers with limited visibility ahead of the December 10-11 meeting.

The upcoming September payrolls report, due Thursday, is expected to be the most current labor-market reading available to the Fed before the meeting. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets now see a 42.4% chance of a 25-basis-point cut and a 57.6% chance of rates staying unchanged.

Higher U.S. rates reduce the appeal of gold and other non-yielding assets, as Treasuries tend to offer more stable returns in elevated-rate environments. Recent comments from Fed officials have also delivered mixed signals, adding uncertainty to the outlook.

Stronger Dollar Adds Pressure on Metals

A firmer dollar, supported by expectations that U.S. rates will remain elevated for longer, added additional downward pressure on metals and other dollar-priced commodities.

Spot platinum dropped 0.7% to $1,526.77 an ounce, while spot silver fell 0.7% to $49.8585 an ounce. Industrial metals also weakened, with London Metal Exchange copper futures slipping 0.8% to $10,695.90 per ton, reversing part of last week’s strong gains.

The dollar’s strength was further boosted by rising concerns over fiscal strains in developed economies, especially Japan. A sharp increase in long-term Japanese government bond yields weighed on the yen and pushed more investors into the dollar.