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Earnings Drive Wall Street Higher, but Inflation Test Awaits

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Wall Street Rises as Earnings Season and Inflation Data Take Center Stage

U.S. stocks advanced on Monday as investor concerns about regional bank stability eased, shifting attention toward a wave of corporate earnings reports and an upcoming inflation reading that could guide Federal Reserve policy.

Market sentiment improved after last week’s volatility, with traders refocusing on third-quarter results from major Wall Street firms. The earnings season enters a critical phase this week, featuring reports from Tesla, Ford, General Motors, Netflix, Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, IBM, and Intel. These results will serve as a key test for equities trading near record valuations.

Focus on Earnings and Banking Sector Health

Investors are also keeping a close eye on regional bank results, following recent fears of systemic stress that sparked a flight to safe assets. According to LSEG IBES data, companies in the S&P 500 are expected to post 9.3% year-on-year earnings growth for the third quarter. However, analysts caution that high expectations may require strong earnings beats to justify the market’s rally.

“Renewed credit concerns and trade policy risks highlight how fragile the current market conditions are,” said Jordan Rizzuto, Chief Investment Officer at GammaRoad Capital Partners.

Trade Policy and Tariff Updates

President Donald Trump signaled a willingness to ease tariffs on China if Beijing resumes key agricultural imports such as soybeans. He also blamed the recent breakdown in talks on China’s tighter control of rare earth exports.

Meanwhile, Trump reiterated that “massive” duties on India would remain unless it halts Russian oil imports and hinted at possible higher tariffs on Colombia amid disputes over drug trade issues.

Market Performance and Sector Highlights

At 09:51 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 254.07 points (0.55%) to 46,452.52, the S&P 500 gained 50.26 points (0.75%) to 6,713.77, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 234.19 points (1.03%) to 22,914.16.

AI optimism continued to fuel market momentum, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index hitting a new all-time high, rising 1.8%.

Micron Technology shares jumped 3.2% after Barclays raised its price target, while ON Semiconductor and KLA gained 4.4% and 3.7%, respectively. Energy and industrial stocks also rose, with the S&P Energy Index up 0.7% and industrials gaining nearly 1%.

Inflation in Focus as CPI Report Nears

The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, which began on October 1, has delayed several key economic data releases, placing greater emphasis on Friday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report — a crucial inflation gauge ahead of the Federal Reserve’s October 28–29 policy meeting.

Economists expect core inflation for September to hold steady at 3.1%, while markets widely anticipate a quarter-point interest rate cut this month, with another reduction likely in December.

“The upcoming reports may not fully clarify how evolving trade policy will impact long-term inflation, but they will offer critical signals for the Fed’s next moves,” Rizzuto added.

Movers and Shakers

Among individual stocks, Applovin dropped 5.1% after Fuzzy Panda Research disclosed a short position. Boeing rose 1.3% after winning FAA approval to increase 737 MAX production to 42 jets per month. Meanwhile, WeightWatchers surged 11.2% following a new partnership with Amazon for weight-loss drug delivery.

On the NYSE, advancing stocks outnumbered decliners by a 6.13-to-1 ratio, while the Nasdaq saw a 4.24-to-1 advantage for gainers. The S&P 500 recorded 10 new 52-week highs, and the Nasdaq Composite marked 43 new highs and 33 new lows.