Home Economic Indicators Services PMI Slips Below Forecast, Raising Growth Concerns

Services PMI Slips Below Forecast, Raising Growth Concerns

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The latest Services PMI data, released by Markit Economics, offers an important snapshot of conditions in the US service sector. The index came in at 52.5, slightly below market expectations, signaling a modest slowdown in activity.

Economists had forecast a reading of 52.9, based on surveys conducted among more than 400 executives across private-sector service companies. Instead, the lower result points to mild underperformance across key industries, including transportation and communications, financial services, business and personal services, computing and IT, as well as hotels and restaurants.

Compared with the previous month’s reading of 54.1, the latest figure confirms a downward move in momentum. This suggests that growth in the service sector is cooling, although it has not yet turned negative. Importantly, any Services PMI value above 50 still indicates expansion on a month-to-month basis.

The Services PMI is widely viewed as a crucial economic indicator. A stronger-than-expected reading typically supports the US dollar, while a weaker outcome can weigh on the currency. In this case, the softer-than-forecast data may apply limited downward pressure on the dollar.

Despite the decline, the index remains comfortably above the 50 threshold, showing that the service sector continues to grow, albeit more slowly. Future data releases will be closely watched to determine whether this slowdown is temporary or the early sign of a more sustained easing in service-sector activity.